Access to the complete count U.S. Census decennial datasets (1790-1940) with names and addresses is provided to University of Michigan researchers through a Virtual Data Enclave. These data are made available through a license with the Minnesota Population Center. See the IPUMS website for descriptions of available data.
Project Title (hover over to view abstract)
Primary Investigator
Graduate Advisor
The impact of the Great Depression on invention and entrepreneurship in the American Midwest
Levenstein
Impact of Natural Disasters
Rhode
Pilot Study Creating the Early Twentieth Century Integrated Longitudinal Dataset (ETCILD) aka LIFE-M
The proposed project will link vital statistics birth and child mortality records to the 1940 census by name. To date, we have recovered over 40 million microdata records on births from 1900 to 1940. Birth records contain information on the infant’s full name, exact day and place of birth, sex and race and also the names of parents, parents’ day and place of birth, and typically parents’ occupations and race. Child death records contain the child’s full name, the exact day of the death, sex, age, race, and birthplace as well as parents’ names and sometimes parents’ birthplace and titles and address. We will link these data to the 1940 census to determine match rates, determinants of non-matches, and geographic coverage and representativeness of Vital Statistics microdata.
Bailey
The Health Effects of Electoral Participation: Evidence from the American South
This project will examine the causal outcomes of electoral participation for African Americans in the 1940s in the American south. Although the first half of the 20th century is widely regarded as a period of effective disenfranchisement for blacks in the south, there was variation in black voter registration rates over this period. However, registration was kept to a minimum because of violent and non-violent means of oppression and intimidation, a significant component of which was the application of economic pressure (e.g., by denying a bank loan to a black farmer who tried to register to vote). I propose to use the occupation mix of blacks at the county level to instrument for voter turnout, with the idea being that blacks who were employed by railroads were not dependent on the local economic power structure for income, and therefore faced a lower cost of voting. I will, in turn, then look for causal effects of voting on African-Americans’ health: did counties with a larger proportion of black voters because of the occupation mix in that county, experience on average lower mortality rates later on? And if so, what are the mechanisms for this –increased education funding? Better infrastructure?
Henderson
Bailey
Did Laws Improve Educational Outcomes
Stephens
Rhode
What’s in a name? Information, Signals, and Investments among Immigrants in the Age of Mass Migration
Names convey information regarding gender, race, and ethnicity, and there is some evidence that, in recent times, labor market outcomes respond to the degree to which names signal race or ethnicity. I propose to use the 1920 Census to explore the extent to which immigrants engaged in name-changing upon arrival to the United States in order to signal their intent to remain in the country, rather than migrate back to the home country after a short period (which was the case for up to 30% of immigrants). I will document this by creating a “native-ness index” using the names of natives to the US, and then assigning to each foreign-born individual the “native-ness” of his or her name relative to the average of the native-ness among all immigrants from that country of origin. This will reveal the extent to which the average immigrant from sending country changes his name to sound “American” relative to other immigrants from that country. I will then explore whether this can be interpreted as a signal of intent to remain in the United States, rather than migrate back to the home county, by exploring the relationship between the likelihood of name changing and home ownership among immigrants. The 1920 full-count Census is crucial for this project, as it contains birthplace, arrival date, and whether or not the respondent owned or rented a home.
Henderson
Bailey
Eugenics and Coerced Sterilization in California
Stern
The Long Run Effects of Enfranchisement
A considerable body of work on the economic effects of enfranchisement has shown that enfranchisement affects public spending in ways consistent with models of distributive politics: the newly enfranchised group receives increased amounts of public spending concentrated in the areas that are of highest priority to them. However, neither the individual, nor long-term, effects are well understood. I propose to fill this gap by examining the long-run effects of enfranchisement on the accumulation of individual social capital using a unique set of state-level laws that enfranchised, and then disenfranchised, non-citizen immigrants from 1848-1926. These laws existed in 21 states and territories, and have not, to my knowledge, been used before in the economics literature. Among other things, I will create a linked sample of the children of immigrants from the 1910 to 1940 Censuses. The "naturalization status" variable in the 1910 Census, in conjunction with state of residence, will allow me to construct an indicator for whether, as of 1910, a child's father was enfranchised (according to the alien voting laws in place at the time). I will then compare children's outcomes in 1940 between immigrant fathers who had been allowed to vote, and fathers who had not been allowed to vote, in order to assess whether parental enfranchisement increases the social assimilation of second-generation immigrants, as measured by the American-ness of any children that are born, as well as by marriage between ethnic groups.
Henderson
Bailey
Alaska’s Reindeer Games: Assimilation and Economic Development
In 1892, the United States federal government launched the Alaska Reindeer Service, introducing domesticated reindeer to the Seward Peninsula to alleviate the deprivation and starvation of Inupiat communities. Reindeer herding was intended to provide a “dependable source of cash income and employment” in rural Alaskan villages through the sale of hides, meat, and antler velvet. Administered by the Bureau of Education, the program relied on Saami herders to instruct native apprentices on proper herding techniques. In this project, we examine the impact of the introduction of domesticated reindeer on economic outcomes of Inupiat households tracking those households from the inception of the project to 1940. Using a newly-transcribed dataset on a cross section of Native Alaskan households in the late 1930s, preliminary results find no statistically significant difference between households in communities with reindeer and those in communities without reindeer. However, evidence suggests that, within communities, owning reindeer contributed to greater asset holdings and less debt. Refined estimates will rely on linking native households to U.S. Census decadal data from 1900 to 1940. The results of this program may provide insight into the efficacy of programs providing low-income households with livestock as a consistent source of food and income.
Massey
"The Righteous And Reasonable Ambition To Become A Landholder”: Land And Racial Inequality In The Postbellum South
Miller
Social and Demographic Change Among American Indians
This research project will examine social and demographic life among American Indians in the United States. The time period of our project extends from the beginning of census enumeration of Native Americans through the 1940 census. The project will examine several aspects of American Indian life including: school attendance and educational attainment, literacy (ability to read and write), ability to speak English, naming patterns, intermarriage, mixed ancestry, marital status, childbearing, and occupation. The project will document these aspects of Indian life at the beginning of our study and then document subsequent social change through 1940. We will examine how these levels and trends vary across different Indian groups and across different regions and states of the country. The documentation of such levels and trends will permit us to see how social changes among Indians are related to events and trends in the larger American society. The project will also construct and estimate statistical models of the influence of such factors as the Indian tribe, region, and state on the social changes observed. Also of great interest is the extent to which certain attributes of Indian life are influenced by other attributes of Indian life. For example, we will examine how marriage, childbearing, and school attendance are influenced by individual and familial attributes such as occupation, naming patterns, intermarriage, and mixed ancestry with Euro-Americans. Our investigations will proceed through the construction of univariate, bivariate, and multivariate tables and through the construction and estimation of multivariate regression equations.
Thornton
Social Interactions and Location Decisions: Evidence from U.S. Mass Migration
Stuart
Pennsylvania Railroad Retirement Fund 1900-1920
Alter
Rosenwald Schools and the Intergenerational Mobility of Blacks and Whites: Evidence from North Carolina
In the early 20th century, Chicago philanthropist Julius Rosenwald established the Rosenwald Fund, a school construction program aimed at improving educational opportunities of black children in the rural South. Between 1913 and 1932, over 5,000 schools were built across 15 Southern states, making it the largest educational initiative of its kind at the time. This project will assess the impact of Rosenwald schools on long-run labor market outcomes of blacks and whites, including measures of intergenerational mobility, using a new longitudinal dataset of birth records linked to Census records. I will explore this question in the context of North Carolina, the largest recipient of Rosenwald schools among all Southern states.
This project will also use a new dataset, which I am currently involved in developing at the Population Studies Center as part of our postdoctoral fellowships: The Longitudinal, Intergenerational Family Electronic Micro-Database Project (LIFE-M). LIFE-M links vital records (birth, marriage and death certificates) and Census records to reconstruct families and link individuals over time using machine learning methods. This novel dataset will allow us to study individuals who were of school-going age during the Rosenwald era and which I can observe in the 1940 Census as (young) adults. Thanks to father-son linkages via birth certificate information (which contain parent names), I will be able to compare outcomes of sons in 1940 to that of their fathers in 1900, 1910, 1920 or 1940 and study intergenerational mobility.
Mohammed
Higher Education, Economic Mobility, and Generational Wealth in 19th Century Virginia
The broad premise of access to university education as an engine of mobility rather than a birthright goes back to Jefferson’s founding vision for the University of Virginia (even as the early implementation fell notably short in the dimensions of race and gender). As Jefferson wrote to John Adams in 1813, his plan for public education in Virginia permitted for the University to attract students such that “Worth and genius would thus have been sought out from every condition of life, and completely prepared by education for defeating the competition of wealth and birth for public trusts.” But, within the legacy of the 19th century institution, there is little evidence to record the extent to which young men from different economic circumstances and different parts of the state were attracted to the University.
Digitization of records from the University of Virginia (UVA), release of full Census enumerations (with names) from the 19th century, and advances in data processing provide a new opportunity to connect family background, university outcomes, and later life outcomes. This research aims to use 50 years (1825-1875) of individual-level UVa records in combination with Census data from the Minnesota Population Center, which has digitized complete-count databases of Census microdata. We will employ the methods of Abramitzky, Mill, and Perez (2019) to merge the UVA records with Census data.
Turner
Marriage, Fertility and intergenerational mobility
Tan
Eugenics and Coerced Sterilization in the United States
Stern
The Long-Term Impacts of Reparations on Eastern Cherokees
This research project empirically investigates the long-term impacts of reparations provided by the United States government on the economic outcomes of Eastern Cherokees. In the 1830s, Eastern Cherokees were forced to migrate from their traditional lands in the American Southeast to a newly designated reserve in the West. Relocated Cherokees suffered a great deal as a result of this policy; thousands of Cherokees perished along the way. In 1905, the U.S. Court of Claims ruled in favor of the Eastern Cherokee Tribe’s claim against the government, resulting in an appropriation of over $1 million to the Tribe’s eligible individuals and families. Particularly, anyone who could prove him- or herself as a member or descendant of a person who had been included in the forced removal were entitled to share equally in the funds. Over 40,000 applications were filed, representing over 90,000 individuals. The court approved more than 30,000 individuals to share in the funds, each of whom received $133 in 1910 (approximately $2,700 in 2019 dollars). We hypothesize that these reparations could have made meaningful impacts on the lives of recipients and their families. Primary outcomes of interest include the number of children, human capital investment in children, employment, and earnings. Should we find these positive effects among eligible Cherokees and their family members, this would suggest that reparations or cash transfers could be an effective policy tool at improving the wellbeing of historically disenfranchised groups. This evidence would also help to inform the current active policy debate around reparations for the descendants of slaves.
Adhvaryu
The Impact of Educational Institutions on Outcomes
Stephens
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Access to the full count sample historical U.S. Census data is supported by funding from the